I-International Energy Agency (IEA) ithe naphezu kokukhuphuka kwentengo yempahla kanye nezindleko zokukhiqiza ezikhuphukayo, ukuthuthukiswa kwe-solar photovoltaic emhlabeni wonke kulo nyaka kusalindeleke ukuthi kukhuphuke ngo-17%.
Emazweni amaningi emhlabeni jikelele, amaphrojekthi we-solar ahlinzeka ngezindleko eziphansi kakhulu zikagesi omusha, ikakhulukazi esimweni sokukhuphuka kwentengo yegesi yemvelo.I-IEA ibikezela ukuthi ngo-2021, u-156.1GW wokufakwa kwe-photovoltaic uzokwengezwa emhlabeni jikelele.
Lokhu kumelela irekhodi elisha.Noma kunjalo, lesi sibalo sisephansi kunezinye izinto ezilindelwe ukuthuthukiswa nokufakwa.Isikhungo socwaningo i-BloombergNEF sibikezela ukuthi i-191GW yamandla elanga amasha izofakwa kulo nyaka.
Ngokuphambene, umthamo we-IHS Market wokufakwa kwelanga ngo-2021 ungu-171GW.Uhlelo lwentuthuko emaphakathi oluhlongozwe yinhlangano yabahwebi i-SolarPower Europe luyi-163.2GW.
I-IEA iveze ukuthi ingqungquthela yokuguquguquka kwesimo sezulu ye-COP26 imemezele umgomo obaluleke kakhulu wokuphehla amandla ahlanzekile.Ngokusekelwa okuqinile kwezinqubomgomo zikahulumeni kanye nezinhloso zamandla ahlanzekile, i-solar photovoltaic "ihlala ingumthombo wokukhula kwamandla avuselelekayo."
Ngokombiko, ngo-2026, amandla avuselelekayo azobala cishe i-95% yokwanda kwamandla omhlaba, futhi i-solar photovoltaic iyodwa izoba ngaphezu kwesigamu.Isamba esifakiwe somthamo we-photovoltaic sizokhuphuka sisuka cishe ku-894GW kulo nyaka siye ku-1.826TW ngo-2026.
Ngaphansi kwesisekelo sentuthuko esheshayo, umthamo omusha wonyaka we-solar photovoltaic uzoqhubeka nokukhula, ufinyelele cishe ku-260 GW ngo-2026. Izimakethe ezibalulekile njenge-China, i-Europe, i-United States, ne-India zinezilinganiso zokukhula ezinkulu kakhulu, kuyilapho izimakethe ezikhulayo njenge I-sub-Saharan Africa kanye neMpumalanga Ephakathi nazo zikhombisa ukukhula okukhulu.
UFatih Birol, uMqondisi oMkhulu we-IEA, uthe ukunyuka kwamandla kagesi avuselelekayo kulo nyaka kuqophe umlando, okukhombisa ukuthi kuvela esinye isibonakaliso emnothweni omusha wamandla omhlaba.
“Amanani aphezulu empahla namandla esiwabona namuhla adala izinselelo ezintsha embonini yamandla avuselelekayo, kodwa ukukhuphuka kwamanani kaphethiloli nakho kwenza amandla avuselelekayo aqhudelane kakhulu.”
I-IEA iphinde yaphakamisa uhlelo lokuthuthukisa olusheshisiwe.Lolu hlelo luthatha ngokuthi uhulumeni uzixazulule izinkinga zemvume, ukuhlanganiswa kwegridi, kanye nokuntuleka kweholo, futhi uhlinzeka ngosekelo lwenqubomgomo oluhlosiwe lokuvumelana nezimo.Ngokwalolu hlelo, i-177.5GW ye-solar photovoltaic izosatshalaliswa emhlabeni jikelele kulo nyaka.
Nakuba amandla elanga akhula, amaphrojekthi amasha avuselelwe kabusha kulindeleke ukuthi abe ngaphansi kakhulu kwenani elidingekayo ukuze kuzuzwe okuhlosiwe kokukhipha i-net-zero emhlabeni jikelele maphakathi naleli khulu leminyaka.Ngokwalo mgomo, phakathi kuka-2021 no-2026, izinga lokukhula elimaphakathi lokuphehlwa kwamandla kagesi avuselelekayo lizocishe liphindeke kabili kunesimo esikhulu esichazwe embikweni.
Umbiko ophambili we-World Energy Outlook okhishwe yi-IEA ngo-Okthoba ukhombisa ukuthi kumephu yomgwaqo ye-IEA ka-2050 ekhishwa yiziro, isilinganiso sonyaka sokwanda kwama-photovoltaics elanga ukusuka ku-2020 kuya ku-2030 sizofinyelela ku-422GW.
Ukwenyuka kwentengo ye-silicon, insimbi, i-aluminium, nethusi kuyisici esingesihle samanani entengo yempahla.
I-IEA iveze embikweni wakamuva ukuthi njengamanje, ukukhuphuka kwamanani ezimpahla kubeke ingcindezi ephezulu ezindlekweni zokutshala imali.Ukunikezwa kwezinto zokusetshenziswa kanye nokukhuphuka kwamanani kagesi kwezinye izimakethe kwengeze izinselele ezengeziwe kubakhiqizi be-solar photovoltaic esikhathini esifushane.
Kusukela ekuqaleni kuka-2020, intengo ye-photovoltaic-grade polysilicon inenani elingaphezu kokuphindwe kane, insimbi inyuke ngo-50%, i-aluminium inyuke ngo-80%, kanti ithusi likhuphuke ngo-60%.Ngaphezu kwalokho, amanani ezimpahla ezisuka eChina ziya eYurophu naseNyakatho Melika nawo akhuphuke kakhulu, kwezinye izikhathi izikhathi eziyishumi.
I-IEA ilinganisela ukuthi izindleko zempahla nezimpahla zithatha cishe u-15% wesamba sezindleko zokutshalwa kwezimali kwe-solar photovoltaic.Ngokuqhathaniswa kwezintengo ezimaphakathi zempahla kusukela ngo-2019 kuya ku-2021, izindleko zizonke zokutshala izimali zemishini yamandla e-photovoltaic zinganyuka cishe ngama-25%.
Ukwenyuka kwempahla nempahla kuthinte izintengo zenkontileka yamathenda kahulumeni, futhi izimakethe ezifana neSpain ne-India zithole amanani entengo enkontileka aphezulu kulo nyaka.I-IEA ithe ukukhuphuka kwentengo yezinto zokusebenza ezidingekayo ezimbonini zamandla e-photovoltaic kubangela inselele kubathuthukisi abaphumelele ukubhida futhi balindele ukwehla okuqhubekayo kwezindleko zamamojula.
Ngokusho kwe-IEA, kusukela ngo-2019 kuya ku-2021, cishe i-100GW yamaphrojekthi we-solar photovoltaic namandla omoya awine amabhidi kodwa angakaqaliswa ukusebenza abhekene nobungozi bokushaqeka kwentengo yempahla, okungase kubambezele ukuthunyelwa kwephrojekthi.
Ngaphandle kwalokhu, umthelela wokukhuphuka kwentengo yempahla esidingweni somthamo omusha unomkhawulo.Ohulumeni abakaze bamukele izinguquko ezinkulu zenqubomgomo zokukhansela amathenda, futhi ukuthengwa kwezinkampani kwephula elinye irekhodi lonyaka nonyaka.
Nakuba kunengozi yamanani entengo ephezulu yesikhathi eside, i-IEA ithe uma izintengo zempahla nezimpahla zilula esikhathini esizayo esiseduze, ukwehla kwezindleko ze-solar photovoltaic kuzoqhubeka, kanye nomthelela wesikhathi eside kulesi sidingo sobuchwepheshe. kungase kube futhi kuyoba kuncane kakhulu.
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Dec-07-2021